Corbin Burnes Free Agent Destinations: Where Will The Orioles Starting Pitcher Sign?

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Corbin Burnes is set to be one of the most highly prized players in the upcoming free-agency market. The Orioles are one of the favorites to secure the return, but they will face serious competition from other teams vying for Burnesā€™ services. It will be an issue worth watching for Maryland sportsbooks customers.

Though a future in Baltimore remains a possibility, the Orioles will need to sell their vision of success, centered around a promising young core that features stars like Gunnar Henderson, Adley Rutschman and Jackson Holliday, especially after the clubā€™s disappointing finish in the American League Wild Card Round against the Kansas City Royals. Convincing Burnes of their long-term potential will be crucial to overcoming the sting of an unexpected early exit.

Still, they will be up against historic franchises likely to offer Burnes the max contract. Our experts at BetMaryland.com, the leading source for up-to-date sports betting insights and Maryland sports betting promos, analyzes which MLB teams may pursue the highly sought-after right-handed pitcher. Below are the results.

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Teamsā€™ Likelihood of Landing Corbin Burnes

Team

Odds

Percent Chance

New York Mets

+300

25.0%

Baltimore Orioles

+400

20.0%

Chicago Cubs

+650

13.3%

New York Yankees

+650

13.3%

Los Angeles Dodgers

+800

11.1%

Boston Red Sox

+1000

9.1%

The Field

+1100

8.3%

New York Mets Emerge as Favorites to Land Corbin Burnes

The New York Mets came into this season with an ā€œall or nothingā€ mindset, and it appears they will approach free agency the same way. With uncertainty surrounding Pete Alonsoā€™s contract situation, the Mets will need to explore other options that will strengthen their roster. Securing an ace pitcher could be a key in 2025.

The Mets are our current favorites to land Burnes with a 25% likelihood and +300 odds. These odds are exclusive to BeyMaryland.com and, though Maryland sports betting apps have hundreds of postseason MLB bets available, these odds wonā€™t be found there.

The New York Yankees find themselves in a situation similar to the Mets. With Juan Soto entering free agency and attracting interest from essentially the entire league, he will be a top priority for the Yankees. Meanwhile, adding Burnes to pair with Gerrit Cole would offer an elite 1-2 pitching duo for the rotation in the Bronx. We give the Yankees +650 odds to sign Burnes, tied for third with the Chicago Cubs.

Where Orioles Stand In Effort To Keep Burnes

The Orioles, who finished three games behind the Yankees in the AL East at 91-71, are the second favorites to retain Burnes. They have a 20% chance with +400 odds to bring back their ace, who was 15-9 with a 2.92 ERA this season, to Camden Yards. Baltimore Orioles World Series odds for 2025 would improve if the righty chooses to stay.

A potential ace duo of Shohei Ohtani and Corbin Burnes in Los Angeles is a real possibility. Our experts indicate that the Dodgers have an 11.1% chance, or +800, odds to land Burnes. If the Dodgers manage to secure Burnes, they will likely head into next season as the favorites to win the World Series title.

The remaining ā€œFieldā€ of teams not listed has +1100 odds, or an 8.3% likelihood. Therefore, the remaining 26 teams all equally have the same share of closing a deal for Burnes.

The Orioles season is over for 2024 but playoff interest is still sure to grow at Maryland MLB betting sites as the World Series draws near.

USA Today photo by Tommy Gilligan

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Author

Felix Veletanga

Felix Veletanga is an experienced reporter who has covered local news, politics, and sports in Northern New Jersey, and now lends his expertise to the Maryland sports betting market. He previously covered the Saint Peterā€™s menā€™s basketball teamā€™s 2022 NCAA Cinderella run for HudPost. Felix specializes in combat fighting and soccer betting analysis with a focus on the Premier League.

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