Can 7-4 NFL Teams Win The Super Bowl?

Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The Baltimore Ravensā€™ newfound momentum hit an AFC North roadblock on Sunday afternoon. The Charm Cityā€™s NFL franchise ran into the brick wall that is the 2024 Pittsburgh Steelers for an 18-16 loss in the Steel City, slightly denting Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl odds.

The result is a 1.5-game deficit in the AFC North standings for coach John Harbaughā€™s squad with seven games to play. The Steelers (8-2) stretched their division lead over the 7-4 Ravens, leaving Baltimore to look for answers when they head west to play the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football on Nov. 25.

At BetMaryland.com, where the best Maryland sportsbook promo codes can be found, we used Champs or Chumps website data to see how teams ended up after starting 7-4 since the 2019 NFL season. In the past five years, 20 teams have started 7-4.

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Season Performance of NFL Teams Starting 7-4

Situation

Number of Teams 

Percentage*

Making The Playoffs

17

85%

Advanced Past Wild Card Round

11

55%

Winning Divisional Round

7

35%

Winning Conference Championship

4

20%

Winning Super Bowl

3

15%

*Rounded to nearest whole number

This Maryland sports betting insight is exclusive to BetMaryland.com. 

On a day where Baltimoreā€™s high-production offense sputtered its way through three turnovers and just 23:38 in time of possession, the Ravens couldnā€™t finish off a comeback in Pittsburgh. A last-minute two-point conversion attempt, which would have tied the score at 18, fell by the wayside to seal the final score, which was 18-16 in favor of the home side.

The Ravens are now fifth on the board at Caesars Maryland Sportsbook to win the Super Bowl at +850 odds, behind the Detroit Lions (+350), Kansas City Chiefs (+460), Buffalo Bills (+580) and Philadelphia Eagles (+700). The Steelers are next at +1600.

How Have Other Recent 7-4 Teams Fared?

Of the 20 teams in the past five years that started the season 7-4, as Baltimore has this year, 17 of them (or 85%) reached the postseason. Of those, 11 teams (55%) made it through the NFLā€™s Wild Card Round and seven (or 35%) advanced through the Divisional Round.

Four of these 20 teams (or 20%) made it to the Super Bowl and three (15%) wound up hoisting the Vince Lombardi Trophy ā€“ the 2021 Los Angeles Rams, 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and 2019 Kansas City Chiefs.

You now have a good idea of why the sky isnā€™t exactly falling in Baltimore, for fans or for backers at Maryland sportsbook apps. And the Ravens have winnable games against the Chargers (in the Harbaugh Bowl), Giants, Texans and Browns left on the schedule. Baltimore will be the site of home clashes against the NFC East-leading Philadelphia Eagles and a Dec. 21 rematch against the Steelers at M&T Bank Stadium.

For now, Harbaugh and company are looking to get back in the right direction against the Bolts on MNF as John Harbaugh faces his brother, new Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh. It's the first time the brothers have been on opposing sidelines for an NFL game since Super Bowl 47, when John's Ravens defeated Jim's San Francisco 49ers, 34-31.

As of Nov. 18, oddsmakers from the Crab Sports Maryland Sportsbook give the Ravens -161 odds of pulling off the road win at SoFi Stadium in primetime on national television.

USA Today photo by Jay Biggerstaff

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Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan writes for BetMaryland.com and has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, with experience at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.2021-08-02

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