MLB Slow Starts: Do Below .400 Teams At This Point In Season Make The Playoffs?

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Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The Baltimore Orioles have started 6-10, a .375 winning percentage, about 10% of the way through the regular season. Using Baseball-Reference.com, BetMaryland.com offers this Maryland sports betting insight by finding every team that was below .400 in win percentage on April 15 over the past five MLB seasons (excluding 2022 due to lockout and 2020 due to COVID-19). From the 2018 season to 2024 season, 36 teams have been below .400 after April 15, as the Orioles are now. How do these teams finish the season after slow starts?

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Season Performance of MLB Teams With Slow Starts

Make Playoffs?

6 of 36

16.7%

Win Division? 

4 of 36

11.1%

Made Division Series?

4 of 36

11.1%

Made Championship Series? 

3 of 36

8.3%

Won World Series?

1 of 36

2.8%

This analysis is part of our sports coverage at BetMaryland.com, where you’ll find the best Maryland sportsbook promo codes all season.

While the first 16 games of the MLB season have been anything but memorable for fans of the Orioles, there’s still reason for optimism around Camden Yards. Two recent teams started in such a shape.

The Atlanta Braves started 5-8 in 2021 and were three games out of first place in the National League East. But they wound up winning the division at 88-73 and won the World Series. Three years earlier, in 2018, the Los Angeles Dodgers stood 5-9 on April 15 but went on to win the NL West (after a one-game playoff against the Colorado Rockies), then won the pennant before falling to the Boston Red Sox in the World Series.

You can follow Baltimore Orioles World Series odds at BetMaryland as the team tries to get back in the right direction.

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Can Baltimore Orioles Still Make Postseason?

This season, Baltimore is joined by the Braves, Minnesota Twins, Colorado Rockies, Chicago White Sox and Pittsburgh Pirates in having a winning percentage below .400 entering today’s play.

And if history is any indicator, the odds are going to change quickly if Baltimore does not start winning soon. Only 15% of teams since 2018 that were .400 or below on April 15 made the playoffs.

Oddsmakers from DraftKings Sportsbook Maryland are still giving Baltimore -110 odds of making the playoffs this season, which would allow them to be the seventh team since 2018 to do so after starting so slowly in the first couple of weeks.

For now, the O’s will look to pick up their seventh win of the young MLB season when they host the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday evening.

As further evidence that one tenth of the schedule is a small sample, Baltimore had +1600 preseason odds on Opening Day, March 27, to win the World Series with BetMGM Maryland Sportsbook. On Wednesday morning, the operator still had +1600 odds on the Os.

USA Today photo by Mitch Stringer

Author

Christopher Boan

Christopher Boan writes for BetMaryland.com and has been covering sports and sports betting for more than seven years, with experience at ArizonaSports.com, the Tucson Weekly and the Green Valley News.2021-08-02

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